Fixed Income Leaders Summit: Emerging Markets 2020

March 09 - 11, 2020

The Ritz-Carlton Westchester, White Plains, NY

Brian Smedley, Head of Macroeconomic and Investment Research at Guggenheim Partners

Brian Smedley


Head of Macroeconomic and Investment Research
Guggenheim Partners

Check out the incredible speaker line-up to see who will be joining Brian.

Download The Latest Agenda

TUESDAY, MARCH 10TH, 2020: DAY ONE – ANTICIPATING AND MANAGING RISK

Tuesday, March 10th, 2020


1:20 PM PRESENTATION: Anticipating a U.S. Recession’s Impact on Emerging Market Risk and Trading Opportunities

A recession looks increasingly likely for 2020, and if it does happen it will effect spreads on every credit risk asset class, including EMs, from a debt and equity standpoint as well as a currency standpoint.  As a dip in the U.S. business cycle coincides with a U.S. / China trade war that was unthinkable just a few years ago, what will be the impact on global risk sentiment?  And how will it interrelate with the unique national issues of each EM?   
·         Determine the likelihood of sudden stops
·         Forecast new risks for commodity markets, currency markets, and credit markets
·         Outline the region- and country-specific factors most likely to be inflamed by a recession

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